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Long lines at gas pump unlikely, but Middle East crisis could disrupt oil supplies_我的网站

A |     WASHINGTON -- Fifty years after the 1973 Arab oil embargo, the current crisis in the Middle East has the potential to disrupt global oil supplies and push prices higher. But don't expect a repeat of the catastrophic price hikes and long lines at the gasoline pump, experts say.The Israel-Hamas war is “definitely not good news” for oil markets already stretched by cutbacks in oil production from Saudi Arabia and Russia and expected stronger demand from China, the head of the International Energy Agency said.Markets will remain volatile, and the conflict could push oil prices higher, "which is definitely bad news for inflation,” Fatih Birol, executive director of the Paris-based IEA, told The Associated Press. Developing countries that import oil and other fuels would be the most affected by higher prices, he said.International benchmark Brent crude traded above $91 a barrel on Thursday, up from $85 per barrel on Oct. 6, the day before Hamas attacked Israel, killing hundreds of civilians. Israel immediately launched airstrikes on Gaza, destroying entire neighborhoods and killing hundreds of Palestinian civilians in the days that have followed.Fluctuations since the attack pushed oil prices as high as $96. The price of oil depends on how much of it is getting used and how much is available. The latter is under threat because of the Hamas-Israel war, even though the Gaza Strip is not home to major crude production.One worry is that the fighting could lead to complications with Iran, home of some of the world’s largest oil reserves. Its crude production has been constrained by international sanctions, but oil is still flowing to China and other countries.“In order to get a sustained move (in prices), we really would need to see a supply disruption,” said Andrew Lipow, president at Lipow Oil Associates, a Houston-based consultant.Any damage to Iranian oil infrastructure from a military strike by Israel could send prices jumping globally. Even without that, a shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz that lies south of Iran could also shake the oil market because so much of the world’s supplies goes through the waterway.Until something like that happens, “the oil market is going to be like everyone else, monitoring the events in the Middle East,” Lipow said.One reason 1970s-style gas lines are unlikely: U.S. oil production is at an all-time high. The U.S. Energy Information Administration, an arm of the Energy Department, reported that American oil production in the first week of October hit 13.2 million barrels per day, passing the previous record set in 2020 by 100,000 barrels. Weekly domestic oil production has doubled from the first week in October 2012 to now.“The energy crisis of 1973 taught us many things, but in my mind, the most critical is that American energy strength is a tremendous source of security, prosperity and freedom around the world,'' said Mike Sommers, president and CEO of the American Petroleum Institute, the U.S. oil industry's top lobbying group.In a speech Wednesday marking the 50th anniversary of the 1973 oil embargo, Sommers said current U.S. production contrasts sharply with “America’s weakened position during the Arab oil embargo.'' He urged U.S. policymakers to heed what he called the lessons of 1973.“We cannot squander our strategic advantage and retreat on energy leadership,'' said Sommers, who has repeatedly criticized President Joe Biden's policies restricting restricting new oil leases as part of Biden's efforts to slow global climate change.“With an unstable world, war in Europe, war in the Middle East, and energy demand outstripping supply, energy security is on the line,'' Sommers said in a speech at the Hudson Institute, a Washington think tank.“American oil and gas are needed now more than ever,'' Sommers said. “Let’s take to heart the lessons we learned from 1973 and avoid sowing the seeds of the next energy crisis.'' For now, the crisis isn’t a repeat of 1973. Arab countries aren’t attacking Israel in unison, and OPEC+ nations have not moved to restrict supplies or boost prices beyond a few extra dollars.There are several wild cards in the energy market. One is the supply of Iranian oil. Eager to avoid a spike in gasoline prices and inflation, the U.S. has quietly tolerated some exports of Iranian oil to destinations such as China instead of going all in on sanctions aimed at Iran’s nuclear program. If Iran, which has warned Israel not to undertake a ground offensive, escalates the Gaza conflict — including a possible attack by Hezbollah militants in Lebanon supported by Iran — that might change the U.S. stance. “If the U.S. were then also to enforce the oil sanctions against Iran more strictly again, the oil market would tighten noticeably,” say commodities analysts at Commerzbank.Lawmakers from both parties have urged Biden to block Iranian oil sales, seeking to dry up one of the regime’s key sources of funding.Another wild card is how Saudi Arabia would respond if Iranian oil is restricted. Oil analysts say that while the Saudis may welcome recent oil price hikes, they don’t want a massive price spike that would fuel inflation, higher central bank interest rates and possible recession in oil-consuming countries that ultimately would limit or even kill off demand for oil. A third unknown is whether more oil will reach the market from Venezuela. The U.S. agreed Wednesday to temporarily suspend some sanctions on the country’s oil, gas and gold sectors after Venezuela’s government and a faction of its opposition formally agreed to work together on election reforms.Venezuelan production could increase in 2024. In the next six months, however, production could ramp up by some 200,000 barrels a day, a relative drop in the ocean, according to Sofia Guidi Di Sante, senior oil market analyst at Rystad Energy.Wyoming Sen. John Barrasso, the top Republican on the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, slammed the U.S. action as a “gimmick” that appeases a brutal regime in Venezuela. “Joe Biden’s energy policies put America last,'' Barrasso said, citing the Democratic president's decisions to kill the controversial Keystone XL oil pipeline and sell off significant portions of the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve, taking it to its lowest level since the 1980s. The Energy Department said Thursday it will seek offers to start refilling the oil reserve in December, with monthly solicitations expected through May 2024.“He eased sanctions on Iran, which funds terrorism across the Middle East. Now with Israel under attack, Biden is desperate for anything to mask the consequences of his reckless policies,'' Barrasso said. “America should never beg for oil from socialist dictators or terrorists.''The Treasury Department says it has targeted nearly 1,000 individuals and entities connected to terrorism and terrorist financing by the Iranian regime and its proxies, including Hamas, Hezbollah and other groups in the region. "We will continue to take action as appropriate to counter Iran’s destabilizing activity in the region and around the world,” Treasury said in a statement.____McHugh reported from Frankfurt, Germany. Choe reported from New York.。    今年以来，全市上下持续锚定投资目标，全力以赴谋项目、拼抢争实抓开工、不遗余力促进度，全力推进项目建设落地成势、提质增效，为打好打赢攻坚之年攻坚之战提供坚实项目支撑。         　　1-9月份，全市开复工重点项目479个，其中，新开工项目192个，续建项目287个；9月，全市完成投资28.3亿元，同比增长55.8%，其中市域当月增长68.8%。项目建设高位推动，投资实现稳步回升。         　　市委、市政府主要领导高度重视项目建设工作，多次组织专题会议，全面调度推进投资项目工作，市级领导分片包点联系推进项目，各县区和部门迅速行动，采取超常规举措，全力加快项目建设。同时，强化“三位一体”项目调度推进，对重点项目实行清单台账式管理，通过“周调度、旬跟踪、月分析”，精准发力、加快推进。我市充分发挥重大项目推进专班作用，通过跨部门现场集中办公强力推进，打通堵点破解难点，不遗余力推进项目加速建设。辽宁三木苯酚丙酮产业链项目完成场平，辽宁龙岗山滑雪场项目签署正式合作协议，抚顺石化80万吨乙烯改造项目获总部批复，抚顺新钢铁高炉低碳智能化升级改造项目完成立项等前期手续，清原抽蓄二期项目完成预可研编制，国道黑大线清原城区段和新宾城区段改建工程完成可研报告。         　　市委、市政府主要领导亲自带队，多次赴国家电网、中石油等央企会商对接，强力推进合作，目前推动4个项目签订战略合作协议，7个项目列入省与中央企业合作重大项目清单。同时滚动谋划实施重点央地合作项目44个，总投资725.7亿元，辽河油田风电等项目加快推进。

B |          　　我市持续围绕“两重”“两新”建设、六大产业、文体旅融合、城市更新等重点领域谋划实施项目1231个，总投资2978亿元。组织市国咨集团与行业牵头部门形成专家服务团队，指导包装策划，提高项目成熟度，为争取项目资金奠定坚实基础。目前，争取超长期特别国债、中央预算内投资、专项债券等资金项目30个，总投资50.7亿元，下达资金13.7亿元，有力支持沈白高铁配套工程等项目加快建设。         　　下一步，我市将采取超常举措，全力以赴加快项目建设，冲刺四季度，打好打赢攻坚战。

C | 抢抓项目建设黄金期，推动469个在建项目加快形成更多实物工作量；加快中央预算内、特别国债等政府投资项目建设，快速撬动和支撑全市投资；深挖重点企业项目投资，推动新钢铁转炉节能等项目加快建设；强化重大项目投资支撑，专班推动龙岗山滑雪场、炼油结构调整等一大批重大项目全面开工建设，对全年投资形成有力支撑。同时，提早谋划明年储备项目，持续围绕“两重”“两新”建设、若干重大工程、央地合作等领域谋划包装，全力争取项目资金，加大招商引资力度，推动清原县氢能、望花船用轴承等重大项目落地实施，形成接续投资支撑。                    责任编辑：李丹。

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